Recent years have shown how important the role of innovation is becoming. Large corporations are rebuilding their businesses, and the world's megacities are actively testing and implementing new technologies in order to significantly improve the quality of life for people and open up new opportunities for them.
However, there is still no common understanding of what innovation is. Could a technology or its implementation be an innovation? What environment is favorable for innovative activity and what does it depend on? ICT.Moscow discussed these issues with those who are engaged in innovations today, and tried to figure out what defines innovative activity in the industry, how the COVID-19 pandemic affected it, and what direction it will develop further.
In 2019, the Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge of the Higher School of Economics (ISSEK HSE) tried to systematize the understanding of this type of activity and came to the conclusion that innovation is a process that consists of at least two stages, involving the creation of new technology, as well as its implementation to solve real problems (including commercial).
Moreover, experts practically identify modern innovations with processes where digital technologies are used in one way or another.
Dmitry Maslennikov
Founder of Disruptive Partners
MIT professor Tom Davenport argues that information technology (which in this case is digital) is at the very heart of nearly all innovation. The influence of IT on almost all industries from agriculture to sports is also traced by the US National Academy of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine. And the widely-cited author of the book “The Age of Innovation” Professor Felix Janszen called innovation the combination of technology and business, the commercialization of science through new goods, services or processes.
The last statement also corresponds to what the interlocutors of ICT.Moscow say. From their point of view, innovation is something already implemented (or being implemented): a product or service that performs some task. Therefore, the emphasis is on the second stage (if viewed in the context of the study by ISSEK), while the first is implied, but not necessarily voiced.
Alexey Parabuchev
CEO of the Moscow Innovation Agency
Of course, no innovation exists “in a vacuum”: it lives and develops in the environment and in time. This is fundamentally important if we consider the meaning of the word “innovation” that the process must be new.
Anna Polyushko
Head of Analytics at Innovation Laboratory, Moscow DIT
Admittedly, this context is not unique to cities.
Dmitry Maslennikov
Founder of Disruptive Partners
Dmitry Kurin from MTS explained with specific examples – what may seem like an innovation today, but is no longer it, and what, from his point of view, has innovative prospects.
Dmitry Kurin
Director for Innovations and Investments at MTS
The expert clarifies that the technology itself will never become an innovation without solving a specific business problem. In an example, he refers to artificial intelligence (AI), a technology that today is really being implemented in a large number of processes and is often considered innovative. In addition to it (and big data as an integral part), such technologies and technological areas usually include virtual and augmented reality (VR/AR), Internet of Things (IoT), blockchain, etc. But it is important to understand that their “innovativeness” (that is belonging to innovative processes) also depends on a number of conditions.
Ivan Yunin
Head of the Moscow Transport Innovations
Dmitry Maslennikov clarifies that “innovation determines its innovativeness not only by how long the technology used has existed but also by how effectively it shows itself in the place of its use.” He also points to the fact that new technologies enter different markets at different speeds — regarding the question of how, depending on the context, the implementation of a solution based on the same technology can be either innovative or not. Evgeny Dzhamalov from Magnit, one of the leading food retailers in Russia, develops this idea.
Evgeny Dzhamalov
Chief Innovation Officer at Magnit
The expert adds that the introduction of a solution already used on the market, but new for the company that implements it, can be generally considered an innovation, but one must look at the degree of its prevalence.
For innovations to be successfully created, implemented and worked, an appropriate environment is necessary. It is rather difficult to talk about the business segment in terms of innovation. According to a recent study by ISSEK HSE, Russian companies tend to develop innovations on their own. Accordingly, the innovation environment in business largely depends on how much a particular company is ready for investments (including long-term investments) in innovation, or whether it has a high innovation culture. In regard to startups, the environment is determined by how successfully it can integrate into real business processes (possibly with the help of accelerators), which is also determined by a large number of factors. However, we can speak with confidence about one feature of the innovation environment in business: it is competitive.
Anton Pronin
Head of Acceleration Programs at the Information Technology Cluster of the Skolkovo Foundation
A similar thought is expressed by Roman Timaev from X5 Group, another leading food retail chain:
Roman Timaev
Head of the Innovative Products Portfolio, X5 Group
The urban environment, in turn, makes it possible to better understand the specifics of the innovation market. Moreover, it is cities that sometimes play a key role in it: this point of view can be traced. For example, Greg Satell, a digital strategy expert, called cities “the most important platform for innovation”. In terms of innovation, they perform two main functions: first, they create a favorable environment conducive to technological progress, knowledge exchange, and business development; secondly, they act as a competent customer in the interests of residents and to optimize urban processes.
One of the tools for assessing the innovation environment are ratings, both international and domestic. They, in particular, allow us to assess the level of innovative development by various indicators (for example, the potential of digitalization and scientific and technological development), the efficiency of the startup ecosystem (the work of funds, accelerators, etc.), the degree of innovation implementation depending on the current agenda (such as COVID-19 pandemic).
The interlocutors of ICT.Moscow agree that the innovative environment is usually formed on the basis of current requests. Alexei Parabuchev, the head of the Moscow Innovation Agency, explains the mechanics of the process: in particular, how this request is translated into the innovation market, forming an appropriate environment.
Alexei Parabuchev
CEO of the Moscow Innovation Agency
The tools for finding solutions, which the expert speaks about, in Moscow are not only accelerators and funds, but also specialized online platforms (a section with city queries on the “Map of innovative solutions” of the Agency of Innovations, a showcase of Moscow tech solutions by ICT.Moscow, etc.).
Head of the Innovation Laboratory of the Moscow Department of Information Technologies (DIT) Yulia Sharova explained to ICT.Moscow that when looking for any innovative project for a city, one must always proceed from the problematic issues and needs of the customer
Yulia Sharova
Head of the Innovation Laboratory at Moscow DIT
At the same time, the expert emphasizes the importance of “when piloting, immediately involving all participants in the process in order to form and work out as many open questions as possible.”
The same trend, i.e. the formation of an environment on the basis of pressing issues and, most importantly, unsolved problems, can be traced in the transport segment.
Ivan Yunin
Head of the Moscow Transport Innovations Project
However, on several occasions, an innovation environment is formed due to external factors. A striking example is seen in the field of medicine, namely the COVID-19 situation. As expected, it caused an increase in demand for innovative solutions, as a result of which, in September, for example, a technology park was opened for the development of startups in the healthcare sector.
Having a clear and well-formed environment, however, does not mean that the demand for specific innovations is always clearly articulated. In a conversation with ICT.Moscow, Anton Pronin from Skolkovo mentioned that none of the end consumers “can say directly what innovative products they would like to consume and how.” According to him, modern organizations spend millions on collecting “information dust” about users and forecasting consumer behavior.
According to Evgeny Dzhamalov from Magnit, there are only two types of companies in the business environment that are interested in introducing innovations.
Evgeny Dzhamalov
Chief Innovation Officer at Magnit
Dmitry Maslennikov adheres to a similar point of view.
If a company does not have new products and revenues from old ones are falling, if its costs do not decrease, but only increase, there is obviously a need for innovation, regardless of its readiness. If she is not ready and does not start implementing them, she will most likely die.
Dmitry Maslennikov
Founder of Disruptive Partners
What tasks businesses, as well as state and city organizations today, want to solve with the help of innovations, can be judged, for example, by the themes of the hackathons they hold. An interesting example is Sberbank with its blockchain platform and an intention to give hackathon participants access to it in order to find a new practical application for it.
National hackathons also outline a range of priority technologies: computer vision, natural language processing, speech recognition and synthesis, intelligent decision support, and promising artificial intelligence methods. The list of industries for which participants are invited to develop solutions is determined by which government agencies provide data sets for work. This is a very wide list, including public administration, health care, education, agriculture, industry, construction, etc.
Ekaterina Petrova
Director of the Platform for the Development of Corporate Innovations, GenerationS
All experts also agree that the COVID-19 pandemic has greatly affected the demand for innovation, including from large businesses. Seemingly archaic and complex, they were able to successfully transfer all communications, employee management, project management, decision-making, control, etc., to online in a crisis situation. In the field of services for remote work, a large number of startups have grown, adds Dmitry Maslennikov, expressing the hope that this growth will continue. The same thing happened in the B2C segment: the change in demand and the format of consumption of services led to the emergence of new innovative solutions in the areas of food, education, finance. Magnit's Chief Innovation Officer lists the areas where the impact has been most noticeable:
Evgeny Dzhamalov
Chief Innovation Officer at Magnit
The coronavirus pandemic has become a major challenge for cities as well. As the authors of The Global Startup Ecosystem Report 2021 point out, “in most industries digitalization has been accelerating for decades. Covid floored it.” A forced change in established processes and business models made us look at innovation differently. A 2021 survey by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG) showed that amid the pandemic, more than 60% of companies plan to increase investment in innovation, a third of them having a significant increase.
According to the latest estimates by ISSEK HSE, in Russia in 2020 the level of innovative activity of organizations not only did not decrease but, on the contrary, increased by 1.7 percentage points. up to 10.8%. At the same time, the highest growth rates are in the field of ICT (12.2% versus 9.8% in 2019).
Another significant impact of the pandemic on business was the reduction of the planning horizon to 1-2 years. This is evidenced by the results of a study by Wikivote. 76% of top executives believe COVID-19 will affect their organizations' medium to long-term strategy, and 12% say the pandemic will force them to reorient themselves to new sectors. 67% of CEOs expect that the biggest threat to their business in the next three years will come from companies outside of their current sector. Another study conducted in 2020 by analysts at EY-Parthenon has similar findings.
There are also opposite examples: Evgeny Dzhamalov, the Chief Innovation Officer at Magnit, says that the pandemic did not affect the planning horizon of the company. “We always try to keep this horizon as low as possible for current pilots and as high as possible for our exploration work,” he explains.
There is another effect that is not yet directly associated with innovation, that is, a massive transition to online formats. They have existed for a long time, and innovations are quite rare in services launched or scaled up for 2020-2021. However, this may change for the foreseeable future: COVID-19 and the transition to online have done a lot of preparatory work for the most visible innovation process from a global point of view, which has attracted attention this year – the transition to the metaverse. Moreover, what is important, this process is happening globally and right now, becoming a vivid example of how an innovative concept is born and implemented – with the prospect of transforming almost all familiar business processes.
This concept of the virtual world was also mentioned in the first half of the year, but it attracted significant attention only in October–November 2021, when Mark Zuckerberg officially announced the transition of his company (formerly Facebook, now Meta) to the concept of metaverse.
Presumably, this concept has gotten so much attention, in part because many companies have already begun to switch to it in one way or another, namely, to introduce technologies that will be included in the future metaverses: digital twins (both objects and people, or avatars), virtual 3D modeling, VR/AR in general, NFT transactions. In the business environment, these processes are still point-like: technologies are introduced and solve certain problems, and in the future, they will probably be able to integrate into the metaverse. But what is characteristic, the concept is already beginning to be implemented in a much more complex area – city management, which creates the preconditions for the creation of another innovative concept: Metaverse City.
The first city that claims to become a full-fledged Metaverse City is the Asian metropolis – Seoul. Over the next five years, the city's leadership plans to develop the digital space of the Korean capital. Seoul is supposed to be an example of what the digital cities of the future will be like. Namely, in them it will allow at the very least:
A fragment of a speech by the Mayor of Seoul, where he talked about plans for the development of the city in a digital environment. Source: The Washington Post
Seoul, however, is not the only one with ambitions to be a Metaverse City pioneer. If the South Korean metropolis and other Asian cities have such opportunities due to technological development, there are those who plan to develop in an innovative digital environment due to their small size, such as the island state of Barbados.
It is clear that ambition alone is not enough. The cities, as well as the market participants (most likely, jointly) in this innovative direction, have to solve many large-scale tasks. There are two main ones.
Existing innovative solutions based on developing technologies will have to be considerably modified. These technologies, in addition to the above mentioned, can also include those that were discussed by the interlocutors of ICT.Moscow: AI (an illustrative example is the creation of virtual 3D models of cities using neural networks based on cartographic data), blockchain.
One would also have to resolve a number of so far open legal issues. Some of them have been identified by the founder of the Singapore-based company Multiverz Randeep Sudan, and they are expected to stump existing regulatory systems due to the innovativeness of the metaverse. Here are just a few of them:
Digital city governance is just one example of the metaverse concept. Of course, a commercial Metaverse segment is emerging, which will be formed, among other things, on the basis of already implemented point solutions. But it is not clear which ones exactly. As the founder of the MIXR community, Andrey Ivashentsev writes, “a huge number of adults are discussing as expertly as possible what does not exist yet (...) At the same time, it is difficult for everyone to argue that one of them is radically mistaken. It is simply too early for a qualitative assessment.”
In other words, one can observe the emerging innovation process at the global level and try to assess how much it transforms existing customary processes, stimulating the emergence of innovative solutions, changing the demand for today's innovative technologies and forms a new industry.
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